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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
72 : 662015.12.16 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.4%
VALUE EDGE+63.4%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsParnu
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08
163.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.58
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
12.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation11.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 101-72L · 84-61W · 87-72L · 68-57W · 74-81
Parnu
L · 78-75L · 69-92W · 81-80L · 73-65L · 74-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.18Tallinna Kalev75 : 82Parnu
2023.12.24Parnu104 : 63Tallinna Kalev
2023.03.16Parnu77 : 93Tallinna Kalev
2022.12.22Tallinna Kalev62 : 97Parnu
2022.04.24Parnu107 : 76Tallinna Kalev
2021.04.23Tallinna Kalev68 : 78Parnu
2021.04.20Parnu88 : 76Tallinna Kalev
2021.03.31Parnu77 : 66Tallinna Kalev
2019.03.25Tallinna Kalev85 : 91Parnu
2018.11.19Parnu70 : 65Tallinna Kalev