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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
82 : 702015.12.09 · 종료
JurmalaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 72.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.6%
VALUE EDGE+74.6%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEB
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsJurmala
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-16.33 Point MarginHigher is better -3.00
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.83
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 79-73W · 57-74L · 83-85W · 71-66W · 74-64
Jurmala
W · 68-90L · 66-72L · 77-69L · 63-79L · 69-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.12.09Rakvere Tarvas82 : 70Jurmala