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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
LietkabelisHOME · -
101 : 722015.12.04 · 종료
Tallinna KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
LietkabelisAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-2.58 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83
156.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.17
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lietkabelis
W · 73-65W · 88-60W · 85-83L · 84-78W · 67-75
Tallinna Kalev
L · 84-61W · 87-72L · 68-57W · 74-81W · 82-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.12.04Lietkabelis101 : 72Tallinna Kalev
2015.10.21Tallinna Kalev67 : 75Lietkabelis
2014.11.21Lietkabelis104 : 53Tallinna Kalev
2014.10.23Tallinna Kalev68 : 86Lietkabelis