Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe

ParnuHOME · -
69 : 922015.12.03 · 종료
Valmiera/ORDOAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.0%
VALUE EDGE+66.0%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsValmiera/ORDO
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.42
154.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.92
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation13.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
W · 81-80L · 73-65L · 74-81L · 85-83L · 89-65
Valmiera/ORDO
L · 73-65W · 64-70W · 72-65W · 89-65W · 90-59
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.12.03 | Parnu | 69 : 92 | Valmiera/ORDO |
| 2015.10.22 | Valmiera/ORDO | 89 : 65 | Parnu |