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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
BK LiepajaHOME · -
68 : 902015.12.02 · 종료
JurmalaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +84.1%
VALUE EDGE+84.1%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEA
BK LiepajaAnalysis MetricsJurmala
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+3.08 Point MarginHigher is better -3.00
161.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.83
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
84.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
15.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Liepaja
L · 89-60W · 79-73W · 91-71W · 69-74W · 90-68
Jurmala
L · 66-72L · 77-69L · 63-79L · 69-74L · 88-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2018.11.25BK Liepaja81 : 87Jurmala
2016.10.20Jurmala76 : 81BK Liepaja
2015.12.02BK Liepaja68 : 90Jurmala
2015.10.29Jurmala69 : 74BK Liepaja