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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Baltic League Europe
Tal TechHOME · -
57 : 742015.11.11 · 종료
Rakvere TarvasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.9%
VALUE EDGE+54.9%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
Tal TechAnalysis MetricsRakvere Tarvas
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+2.92 Point MarginHigher is better -16.33
135.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation4.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tal Tech
L · 96-102L · 84-97L · 65-84L · 65-59L · 90-68
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 83-85W · 71-66W · 74-64L · 89-68L · 87-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.18Tal Tech107 : 86Rakvere Tarvas
2022.10.29Rakvere Tarvas72 : 88Tal Tech
2022.03.20Tal Tech93 : 72Rakvere Tarvas
2021.04.24Tal Tech69 : 71Rakvere Tarvas
2021.04.21Rakvere Tarvas86 : 75Tal Tech
2021.03.08Rakvere Tarvas90 : 77Tal Tech
2016.12.08Tal Tech93 : 78Rakvere Tarvas
2016.10.27Rakvere Tarvas62 : 74Tal Tech
2016.01.07Rakvere Tarvas84 : 73Tal Tech
2015.11.11Tal Tech57 : 74Rakvere Tarvas