Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
RaplaHOME · -
70 : 882015.11.05 · 종료
NevezisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.1%
VALUE EDGE+74.1%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsNevezis
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.08
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.25
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
W · 64-72W · 84-78L · 90-59L · 55-70L · 105-75
Nevezis
L · 82-74W · 85-60L · 78-71L · 84-77L · 85-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.12.01 | Nevezis | 92 : 72 | Rapla |
| 2016.10.13 | Rapla | 91 : 77 | Nevezis |
| 2016.01.13 | Nevezis | 57 : 69 | Rapla |
| 2015.11.05 | Rapla | 70 : 88 | Nevezis |
| 2015.01.21 | Rapla | 85 : 67 | Nevezis |
| 2014.10.29 | Nevezis | 70 : 71 | Rapla |