Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
RaplaHOME · -
84 : 782015.10.22 · 종료
LietkabelisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.2%
VALUE EDGE+50.2%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsLietkabelis
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.58
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.75
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation0.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
L · 90-59L · 55-70L · 105-75W · 85-67L · 87-68
Lietkabelis
W · 67-75W · 78-71L · 66-78L · 103-81W · 96-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.01.14 | Lietkabelis | 98 : 70 | Rapla |
| 2015.10.22 | Rapla | 84 : 78 | Lietkabelis |