Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Baltic League
Europe
Valmiera/ORDOHOME · -
90 : 592015.10.14 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.0%
VALUE EDGE+82.0%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
Valmiera/ORDOAnalysis MetricsRapla
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+8.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
149.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valmiera/ORDO
W · 84-78L · 107-73W · 74-66W · 82-97W · 74-71
Rapla
L · 55-70L · 105-75W · 85-67L · 87-68L · 63-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017.02.22 | Valmiera/ORDO | 87 : 81 | Rapla |
| 2017.02.08 | Rapla | 65 : 78 | Valmiera/ORDO |
| 2016.01.27 | Rapla | 57 : 66 | Valmiera/ORDO |
| 2015.10.14 | Valmiera/ORDO | 90 : 59 | Rapla |