Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · ABA League - Quarter-finals
FMP BeogradHOME · -
74 : 792022.05.05 · 종료
BuducnostAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.0%
VALUE EDGE+53.0%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsBuducnost
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.33
162.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.83
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation2.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Beograd
L · 76-70L · 75-77L · 90-82L · 77-79W · 90-82
Buducnost
W · 76-70W · 61-72L · 74-64L · 76-80W · 97-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.08 | FMP Beograd | 73 : 76 | Buducnost |
| 2023.02.05 | Buducnost | 84 : 58 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.10.30 | FMP Beograd | 96 : 91 | Buducnost |
| 2022.05.05 | FMP Beograd | 74 : 79 | Buducnost |
| 2022.05.01 | Buducnost | 76 : 70 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.04.09 | FMP Beograd | 77 : 79 | Buducnost |
| 2021.09.27 | Buducnost | 82 : 72 | FMP Beograd |