Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · ABA League - Quarter-finals
BuducnostHOME · -
76 : 702022.05.01 · 종료
FMP BeogradAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.2%
VALUE EDGE+58.2%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
BuducnostAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+4.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.42
173.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.92
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation7.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Buducnost
W · 61-72L · 74-64L · 76-80W · 97-73W · 77-79
FMP Beograd
L · 75-77L · 90-82L · 77-79W · 90-82W · 60-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.08 | FMP Beograd | 73 : 76 | Buducnost |
| 2023.02.05 | Buducnost | 84 : 58 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.10.30 | FMP Beograd | 96 : 91 | Buducnost |
| 2022.05.05 | FMP Beograd | 74 : 79 | Buducnost |
| 2022.05.01 | Buducnost | 76 : 70 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.04.09 | FMP Beograd | 77 : 79 | Buducnost |
| 2021.09.27 | Buducnost | 82 : 72 | FMP Beograd |