Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 16
FMP BeogradHOME · -
75 : 772022.04.23 · 종료
Cedevita OlimpijaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.9%
VALUE EDGE+62.9%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADES
FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsCedevita Olimpija
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.67
162.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.67
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
11.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation11.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Beograd
L · 90-82L · 77-79W · 90-82W · 60-93W · 76-71
Cedevita Olimpija
W · 93-80W · 83-80L · 80-84W · 67-88W · 80-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Cedevita Olimpija | 96 : 87 | FMP Beograd |
| 2023.05.14 | Cedevita Olimpija | 97 : 79 | FMP Beograd |
| 2023.05.07 | FMP Beograd | 102 : 96 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2023.04.30 | Cedevita Olimpija | 87 : 77 | FMP Beograd |
| 2023.02.12 | FMP Beograd | 79 : 86 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2022.11.07 | Cedevita Olimpija | 85 : 90 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.04.23 | FMP Beograd | 75 : 77 | Cedevita Olimpija |