Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 16
KK Krka Novo mestoHOME · -
62 : 792022.04.23 · 종료
Mega BasketAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.9%
VALUE EDGE+61.9%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEB
KK Krka Novo mestoAnalysis MetricsMega Basket
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+5.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.75
162.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.58
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
5.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
12.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation10.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
KK Krka Novo mesto
L · 74-65L · 108-81L · 72-84L · 76-56L · 60-93
Mega Basket
L · 68-97W · 81-85L · 81-80L · 70-83L · 92-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.20 | KK Krka Novo mesto | 78 : 82 | Mega Basket |
| 2022.04.23 | KK Krka Novo mesto | 62 : 79 | Mega Basket |