Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 15
Mornar BarHOME · -
74 : 652022.04.17 · 종료
KK Krka Novo mestoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 82.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.2%
VALUE EDGE+82.2%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEB
Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsKK Krka Novo mesto
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+1.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.25
166.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.25
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mornar Bar
L · 82-88L · 95-83W · 86-84W · 70-83L · 76-67
KK Krka Novo mesto
L · 108-81L · 72-84L · 76-56L · 60-93L · 77-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.04.17 | Mornar Bar | 74 : 65 | KK Krka Novo mesto |
| 2021.10.03 | KK Krka Novo mesto | 89 : 80 | Mornar Bar |