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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

ABA League Europe · 26
Mornar BarHOME · -
82 : 882022.04.10 · 종료
Studentski CentarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +72.8%
VALUE EDGE+72.8%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADES
Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsStudentski Centar
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -3.08
166.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.42
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
72.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
27.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mornar Bar
L · 95-83W · 86-84W · 70-83L · 76-67L · 79-101
Studentski Centar
L · 80-88L · 83-67W · 89-84L · 94-84W · 85-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.04Mornar Bar82 : 96Studentski Centar
2023.05.01Studentski Centar109 : 71Mornar Bar
2023.02.06Studentski Centar94 : 74Mornar Bar
2022.10.31Mornar Bar75 : 86Studentski Centar
2022.04.10Mornar Bar82 : 88Studentski Centar
2021.12.26Studentski Centar76 : 95Mornar Bar