Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 25

ZadarHOME · -

81 : 852022.04.05 · 종료

Mega BasketAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY39.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 58.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +60.3%

VALUE EDGE+60.3%

FAIR ODDS1.66

GRADES

ZadarAnalysis MetricsMega Basket

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+10.50 Point MarginHigher is better -4.75

155.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.58

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.0 / 15

Prediction separation8.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

60.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

39.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Zadar

L · 86-84L · 77-92L · 79-67W · 65-63L · 91-69

Mega Basket

L · 81-80L · 70-83L · 92-81L · 71-81L · 86-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.11	Mega Basket	88 : 82	Zadar
2025.12.13	Mega Basket	90 : 89	Zadar
2025.11.15	Zadar	88 : 73	Mega Basket
2023.01.24	Mega Basket	80 : 77	Zadar
2022.10.18	Zadar	96 : 90	Mega Basket
2022.04.05	Zadar	81 : 85	Mega Basket
2021.12.19	Mega Basket	70 : 72	Zadar