Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 24

Mornar BarHOME · -

86 : 842022.03.28 · 종료

ZadarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY25.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +74.6%

VALUE EDGE+74.6%

FAIR ODDS1.34

GRADEB

Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsZadar

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+1.00 Point MarginHigher is better +10.50

166.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.83

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

7.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

65/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

74.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

25.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mornar Bar

W · 70-83L · 76-67L · 79-101L · 89-77W · 95-65

Zadar

L · 77-92L · 79-67W · 65-63L · 91-69W · 83-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.16	Zadar	97 : 77	Mornar Bar
2022.10.10	Mornar Bar	100 : 91	Zadar
2022.03.28	Mornar Bar	86 : 84	Zadar
2021.12.13	Zadar	71 : 76	Mornar Bar