Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 23
KK Krka Novo mestoHOME · -
60 : 932022.03.21 · 종료
FMP BeogradAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.2%
VALUE EDGE+55.2%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
KK Krka Novo mestoAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+5.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.42
162.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.92
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
KK Krka Novo mesto
L · 77-68W · 87-84L · 52-87L · 86-76L · 63-79
FMP Beograd
W · 76-71L · 85-76L · 80-86L · 83-80L · 73-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.12 | KK Krka Novo mesto | 68 : 79 | FMP Beograd |
| 2026.01.16 | KK Krka Novo mesto | 81 : 71 | FMP Beograd |
| 2025.11.09 | FMP Beograd | 82 : 61 | KK Krka Novo mesto |
| 2022.03.21 | KK Krka Novo mesto | 60 : 93 | FMP Beograd |
| 2021.12.05 | FMP Beograd | 87 : 76 | KK Krka Novo mesto |