Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 23

Mega BasketHOME · -

70 : 832022.03.20 · 종료

Mornar BarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY49.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +50.9%

VALUE EDGE+50.9%

FAIR ODDS1.96

GRADEA

Mega BasketAnalysis MetricsMornar Bar

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-5.75 Point MarginHigher is better +1.00

172.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.17

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

6.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.7일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.0 / 15

Prediction separation0.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

50.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

49.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mega Basket

L · 92-81L · 71-81L · 86-69L · 83-62L · 69-76

Mornar Bar

L · 76-67L · 79-101L · 89-77W · 95-65L · 70-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.07	Mega Basket	89 : 78	Mornar Bar
2022.11.21	Mornar Bar	85 : 101	Mega Basket
2022.03.20	Mega Basket	70 : 83	Mornar Bar
2021.12.05	Mornar Bar	79 : 75	Mega Basket