Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 22

FMP BeogradHOME · -

76 : 712022.03.14 · 종료

CibonaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY46.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +53.3%

VALUE EDGE+53.3%

FAIR ODDS1.87

GRADEA

FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsCibona

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-6.42 Point MarginHigher is better +4.17

162.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.67

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.9 / 15

Prediction separation2.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

53.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

46.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

FMP Beograd

L · 85-76L · 80-86L · 83-80L · 73-61L · 79-86

Cibona

W · 89-74W · 52-87W · 84-65W · 90-75L · 93-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.11.14	Cibona	80 : 77	FMP Beograd
2022.12.13	FMP Beograd	111 : 75	Cibona
2022.03.14	FMP Beograd	76 : 71	Cibona
2021.11.21	Cibona	66 : 69	FMP Beograd