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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

ABA League Europe · 22
Cedevita OlimpijaHOME · -
92 : 812022.03.14 · 종료
Mega BasketAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.4%
VALUE EDGE+71.4%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Cedevita OlimpijaAnalysis MetricsMega Basket
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-1.33 Point MarginHigher is better -5.75
159.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.75
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
2.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cedevita Olimpija
W · 98-84W · 92-78W · 79-101W · 79-83W · 96-104
Mega Basket
L · 71-81L · 86-69L · 83-62L · 69-76W · 79-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.12.21Mega Basket72 : 90Cedevita Olimpija
2025.10.06Cedevita Olimpija117 : 81Mega Basket
2023.04.16Cedevita Olimpija85 : 70Mega Basket
2023.01.02Mega Basket82 : 96Cedevita Olimpija
2022.03.14Cedevita Olimpija92 : 81Mega Basket
2021.11.21Mega Basket104 : 75Cedevita Olimpija