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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

ABA League Europe · 22
IgokeaHOME · -
79 : 672022.03.12 · 종료
ZadarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 77.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +75.3%
VALUE EDGE+75.3%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEB
IgokeaAnalysis MetricsZadar
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better +12.25
168.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.75
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
5.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
75.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
24.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Igokea
W · 71-81W · 70-57L · 80-70W · 73-61L · 89-77
Zadar
W · 65-63L · 91-69W · 83-80W · 78-71L · 103-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.25Zadar67 : 68Igokea
2022.12.10Igokea81 : 84Zadar
2022.03.12Igokea79 : 67Zadar
2021.11.19Zadar64 : 77Igokea