Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 21

Mornar BarHOME · -

79 : 1012022.03.06 · 종료

Cedevita OlimpijaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.4%

VALUE EDGE+59.4%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsCedevita Olimpija

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -1.33

166.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.67

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.7 / 15

Prediction separation8.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mornar Bar

L · 89-77W · 95-65L · 70-57L · 62-73L · 81-74

Cedevita Olimpija

W · 79-83W · 96-104W · 80-70W · 103-86L · 93-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.12	Mornar Bar	78 : 75	Cedevita Olimpija
2022.12.28	Cedevita Olimpija	100 : 79	Mornar Bar
2022.03.06	Mornar Bar	79 : 101	Cedevita Olimpija
2021.11.14	Cedevita Olimpija	79 : 59	Mornar Bar