Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · ABA League - Quarter-finals
Cedevita OlimpijaHOME · -
97 : 792023.05.14 · 종료
FMP BeogradAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.8%
VALUE EDGE+55.8%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
Cedevita OlimpijaAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+0.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
158.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation5.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cedevita Olimpija
L · 102-96W · 87-77L · 70-84W · 85-70L · 78-75
FMP Beograd
W · 102-96L · 87-77W · 101-76L · 84-74L · 91-97
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Cedevita Olimpija | 96 : 87 | FMP Beograd |
| 2023.05.14 | Cedevita Olimpija | 97 : 79 | FMP Beograd |
| 2023.05.07 | FMP Beograd | 102 : 96 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2023.04.30 | Cedevita Olimpija | 87 : 77 | FMP Beograd |
| 2023.02.12 | FMP Beograd | 79 : 86 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2022.11.07 | Cedevita Olimpija | 85 : 90 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.04.23 | FMP Beograd | 75 : 77 | Cedevita Olimpija |