Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · ABA League - Quarter-finals
Mega BasketHOME · -
80 : 822023.05.08 · 종료
BuducnostAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.3%
VALUE EDGE+58.3%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Mega BasketAnalysis MetricsBuducnost
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.08
172.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.25
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation7.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mega Basket
L · 94-77L · 85-70L · 76-85L · 78-87W · 90-85
Buducnost
W · 94-77L · 82-83L · 85-87L · 92-83W · 76-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.12.27 | Buducnost | 100 : 82 | Mega Basket |
| 2025.11.23 | Mega Basket | 65 : 98 | Buducnost |
| 2023.05.08 | Mega Basket | 80 : 82 | Buducnost |
| 2023.04.29 | Buducnost | 94 : 77 | Mega Basket |
| 2023.04.09 | Mega Basket | 76 : 85 | Buducnost |
| 2022.12.26 | Buducnost | 79 : 66 | Mega Basket |
| 2022.02.14 | Buducnost | 86 : 69 | Mega Basket |
| 2021.11.07 | Mega Basket | 87 : 81 | Buducnost |