Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · ABA League - Quarter-finals
FMP BeogradHOME · -
102 : 962023.05.07 · 종료
Cedevita OlimpijaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.6%
VALUE EDGE+70.6%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsCedevita Olimpija
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.67
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.67
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Beograd
L · 87-77W · 101-76L · 84-74L · 91-97W · 112-87
Cedevita Olimpija
W · 87-77L · 70-84W · 85-70L · 78-75W · 84-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Cedevita Olimpija | 96 : 87 | FMP Beograd |
| 2023.05.14 | Cedevita Olimpija | 97 : 79 | FMP Beograd |
| 2023.05.07 | FMP Beograd | 102 : 96 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2023.04.30 | Cedevita Olimpija | 87 : 77 | FMP Beograd |
| 2023.02.12 | FMP Beograd | 79 : 86 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2022.11.07 | Cedevita Olimpija | 85 : 90 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.04.23 | FMP Beograd | 75 : 77 | Cedevita Olimpija |