Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · ABA League - Quarter-finals
Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetHOME · -
100 : 732023.04.29 · 종료
ZadarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.1%
VALUE EDGE+82.1%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetAnalysis MetricsZadar
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+11.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+13.08
166.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.58
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
11.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
W · 70-84W · 65-87W · 83-74W · 82-87W · 78-87
Zadar
L · 78-88W · 63-89L · 84-80L · 67-68L · 112-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.01.18 | Zadar | 67 : 80 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
| 2025.10.07 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 79 : 85 | Zadar |
| 2023.05.09 | Zadar | 63 : 74 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
| 2023.04.29 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 100 : 73 | Zadar |
| 2023.02.13 | Zadar | 76 : 95 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
| 2022.11.08 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 96 : 98 | Zadar |
| 2022.02.14 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 91 : 69 | Zadar |
| 2021.11.08 | Zadar | 73 : 83 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |