Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 14

Mornar BarHOME · -

74 : 862023.04.24 · 종료

IgokeaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY47.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +52.3%

VALUE EDGE+52.3%

FAIR ODDS1.91

GRADEA

Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsIgokea

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better -1.67

166.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.83

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.9 / 15

Prediction separation1.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

52.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

47.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mornar Bar

L · 65-87L · 101-76W · 78-75L · 99-78L · 91-80

Igokea

W · 75-74L · 89-74W · 81-67W · 67-68W · 78-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.24	Mornar Bar	74 : 86	Igokea
2022.10.01	Igokea	83 : 91	Mornar Bar
2022.02.13	Igokea	70 : 57	Mornar Bar
2016.09.30	Mornar Bar	83 : 60	Igokea
2016.09.28	Igokea	71 : 69	Mornar Bar