Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 23
Mornar BarHOME · -
65 : 872023.04.21 · 종료
Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY73.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+73.8%
VALUE EDGE+73.8%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-5.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.92
166.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.08
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
4.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mornar Bar
L · 101-76W · 78-75L · 99-78L · 91-80W · 104-99
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
W · 83-74W · 82-87W · 78-87W · 90-70L · 92-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.21 | Mornar Bar | 65 : 87 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
| 2022.12.11 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 93 : 77 | Mornar Bar |
| 2022.01.31 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 81 : 74 | Mornar Bar |
| 2021.10.25 | Mornar Bar | 69 : 77 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |