Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 26
Cedevita OlimpijaHOME · -
85 : 702023.04.16 · 종료
Mega BasketAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.4%
VALUE EDGE+54.4%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
Cedevita OlimpijaAnalysis MetricsMega Basket
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+0.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.75
158.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.58
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation3.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cedevita Olimpija
L · 78-75W · 84-83L · 75-88L · 76-73L · 84-82
Mega Basket
L · 76-85L · 78-87W · 90-85W · 80-86W · 93-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.12.21 | Mega Basket | 72 : 90 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2025.10.06 | Cedevita Olimpija | 117 : 81 | Mega Basket |
| 2023.04.16 | Cedevita Olimpija | 85 : 70 | Mega Basket |
| 2023.01.02 | Mega Basket | 82 : 96 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2022.03.14 | Cedevita Olimpija | 92 : 81 | Mega Basket |
| 2021.11.21 | Mega Basket | 104 : 75 | Cedevita Olimpija |