Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 25
Mornar BarHOME · -
78 : 752023.04.12 · 종료
Cedevita OlimpijaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.4%
VALUE EDGE+50.4%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsCedevita Olimpija
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-5.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.67
166.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.67
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
8.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.9 / 15
Prediction separation0.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mornar Bar
L · 99-78L · 91-80W · 104-99L · 89-78W · 93-84
Cedevita Olimpija
W · 84-83L · 75-88L · 76-73L · 84-82W · 91-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.12 | Mornar Bar | 78 : 75 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2022.12.28 | Cedevita Olimpija | 100 : 79 | Mornar Bar |
| 2022.03.06 | Mornar Bar | 79 : 101 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2021.11.14 | Cedevita Olimpija | 79 : 59 | Mornar Bar |