Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 24
Mega BasketHOME · -
78 : 872023.04.04 · 종료
Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.5%
VALUE EDGE+72.5%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
Mega BasketAnalysis MetricsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.58
172.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
8.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mega Basket
W · 90-85W · 80-86W · 93-86W · 89-78W · 83-103
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
W · 90-70L · 92-81L · 85-81W · 76-95W · 104-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.01 | Mega Basket | 107 : 102 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
| 2025.10.26 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 94 : 73 | Mega Basket |
| 2023.04.04 | Mega Basket | 78 : 87 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
| 2022.12.19 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 92 : 58 | Mega Basket |
| 2022.02.07 | Mega Basket | 69 : 76 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
| 2021.11.02 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 81 : 67 | Mega Basket |