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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

ABA League Europe · 23
Mega BasketHOME · -
90 : 852023.03.26 · 종료
SplitAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.3%
VALUE EDGE+55.3%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
Mega BasketAnalysis MetricsSplit
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-4.75 Point MarginHigher is better +2.92
172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.58
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
6.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mega Basket
W · 80-86W · 93-86W · 89-78W · 83-103L · 78-103
Split
W · 91-80L · 96-84L · 95-96W · 72-90W · 89-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.21Mega Basket95 : 72Split
2026.03.23Split96 : 74Mega Basket
2023.03.26Mega Basket90 : 85Split
2022.12.12Split79 : 75Mega Basket
2022.04.01Split81 : 80Mega Basket
2021.12.12Mega Basket78 : 65Split