Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 22
MZT SkopjeHOME · -
78 : 842023.03.19 · 종료
IgokeaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.5%
VALUE EDGE+74.5%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEB
MZT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsIgokea
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-5.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.67
153.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MZT Skopje
W · 68-88L · 93-86W · 63-88W · 87-82W · 89-73
Igokea
W · 77-70L · 83-73L · 91-58L · 104-71L · 88-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.19 | MZT Skopje | 78 : 84 | Igokea |
| 2022.12.05 | Igokea | 96 : 90 | MZT Skopje |