Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 22

FMP BeogradHOME · -

112 : 872023.03.18 · 종료

ZadarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY31.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +68.1%

VALUE EDGE+68.1%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADEA

FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsZadar

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better +13.08

159.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.58

25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.5 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

68.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

31.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

FMP Beograd

L · 77-70L · 87-82L · 79-86L · 84-58L · 84-99

Zadar

W · 81-59L · 76-68L · 76-95L · 89-85W · 85-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.15	Zadar	76 : 65	FMP Beograd
2026.04.01	FMP Beograd	85 : 55	Zadar
2023.03.18	FMP Beograd	112 : 87	Zadar
2022.12.03	Zadar	103 : 97	FMP Beograd
2022.02.07	Zadar	83 : 80	FMP Beograd
2021.10.31	FMP Beograd	83 : 76	Zadar