Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 22
SplitHOME · -
91 : 802023.03.18 · 종료
Mornar BarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.4%
VALUE EDGE+58.4%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEB
SplitAnalysis MetricsMornar Bar
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.50
160.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.3 / 15
Prediction separation7.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Split
L · 96-84L · 95-96W · 72-90W · 89-85W · 88-92
Mornar Bar
W · 104-99L · 89-78W · 93-84L · 94-74L · 92-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.18 | Split | 91 : 80 | Mornar Bar |
| 2022.12.06 | Mornar Bar | 104 : 88 | Split |
| 2022.03.12 | Split | 76 : 67 | Mornar Bar |
| 2021.11.22 | Mornar Bar | 81 : 65 | Split |