Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 21

Mornar BarHOME · -

104 : 992023.03.13 · 종료

Borac MozzartAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY45.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +54.4%

VALUE EDGE+54.4%

FAIR ODDS1.84

GRADEA

Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsBorac Mozzart

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better +0.25

166.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.08

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.9 / 15

Prediction separation3.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

54.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

45.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mornar Bar

L · 89-78W · 93-84L · 94-74L · 92-74W · 83-81

Borac Mozzart

W · 92-90L · 114-84L · 83-84L · 85-75W · 70-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.13	Mornar Bar	104 : 99	Borac Mozzart
2022.11.27	Borac Mozzart	90 : 87	Mornar Bar
2022.04.24	Borac Mozzart	91 : 78	Mornar Bar
2021.10.10	Mornar Bar	85 : 90	Borac Mozzart