Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 21
Mega BasketHOME · -
93 : 862023.03.12 · 종료
MZT SkopjeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.6%
VALUE EDGE+53.6%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
Mega BasketAnalysis MetricsMZT Skopje
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.33
172.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.67
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
5.7일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation3.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mega Basket
W · 89-78W · 83-103L · 78-103W · 72-106W · 80-77
MZT Skopje
W · 63-88W · 87-82W · 89-73W · 102-61W · 80-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.12 | Mega Basket | 93 : 86 | MZT Skopje |
| 2022.11.28 | MZT Skopje | 94 : 82 | Mega Basket |