Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

ABA League Europe · 21

IgokeaHOME · -

77 : 702023.03.12 · 종료

FMP BeogradAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY58.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +58.6%

VALUE EDGE+58.6%

FAIR ODDS1.71

GRADEA

IgokeaAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-1.67 Point MarginHigher is better -4.50

166.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.67

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.6 / 15

Prediction separation7.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

41.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

58.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Igokea

L · 83-73L · 91-58L · 104-71L · 88-92L · 70-65

FMP Beograd

L · 87-82L · 79-86L · 84-58L · 84-99W · 91-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.12.21	FMP Beograd	69 : 85	Igokea
2025.10.04	Igokea	92 : 88	FMP Beograd
2023.03.12	Igokea	77 : 70	FMP Beograd
2022.11.28	FMP Beograd	89 : 77	Igokea
2022.02.04	Igokea	73 : 61	FMP Beograd
2021.10.02	FMP Beograd	89 : 81	Igokea