Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 20

Mega BasketHOME · -

89 : 782023.03.07 · 종료

Mornar BarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +58.0%

VALUE EDGE+58.0%

FAIR ODDS1.72

GRADEA

Mega BasketAnalysis MetricsMornar Bar

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-4.75 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50

172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.00

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.2 / 15

Prediction separation6.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

58.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mega Basket

W · 83-103L · 78-103W · 72-106W · 80-77W · 77-72

Mornar Bar

W · 93-84L · 94-74L · 92-74W · 83-81L · 97-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.07	Mega Basket	89 : 78	Mornar Bar
2022.11.21	Mornar Bar	85 : 101	Mega Basket
2022.03.20	Mega Basket	70 : 83	Mornar Bar
2021.12.05	Mornar Bar	79 : 75	Mega Basket