Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 20
MZT SkopjeHOME · -
87 : 822023.03.04 · 종료
FMP BeogradAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
MZT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-5.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
153.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.67
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
12.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation6.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MZT Skopje
W · 89-73W · 102-61W · 80-68W · 86-102L · 93-84
FMP Beograd
L · 79-86L · 84-58L · 84-99W · 91-95W · 107-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.04 | MZT Skopje | 87 : 82 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.11.19 | FMP Beograd | 101 : 97 | MZT Skopje |