Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 17

FMP BeogradHOME · -

84 : 992023.01.29 · 종료

Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY47.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +52.6%

VALUE EDGE+52.6%

FAIR ODDS1.90

GRADEA

FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better +8.58

159.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 170.58

25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

8.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.7 / 15

Prediction separation2.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

52.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

47.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

FMP Beograd

W · 91-95W · 107-81L · 77-72W · 102-113W · 90-73

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

W · 100-95W · 56-76W · 57-80W · 63-72W · 86-57

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.05	FMP Beograd	90 : 89	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
2023.01.29	FMP Beograd	84 : 99	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
2022.10.25	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	83 : 77	FMP Beograd
2022.04.12	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	90 : 82	FMP Beograd
2021.12.26	FMP Beograd	74 : 98	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet