Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

ABA League Europe · 16

Mega BasketHOME · -

80 : 772023.01.24 · 종료

ZadarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY48.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +51.2%

VALUE EDGE+51.2%

FAIR ODDS1.95

GRADEA

Mega BasketAnalysis MetricsZadar

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-4.75 Point MarginHigher is better +13.08

172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.58

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

9.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.9 / 15

Prediction separation1.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

51.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

48.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mega Basket

W · 77-72L · 82-96L · 79-66L · 92-58L · 79-75

Zadar

W · 97-77L · 114-77L · 68-75W · 98-79W · 81-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.11	Mega Basket	88 : 82	Zadar
2025.12.13	Mega Basket	90 : 89	Zadar
2025.11.15	Zadar	88 : 73	Mega Basket
2023.01.24	Mega Basket	80 : 77	Zadar
2022.10.18	Zadar	96 : 90	Mega Basket
2022.04.05	Zadar	81 : 85	Mega Basket
2021.12.19	Mega Basket	70 : 72	Zadar