Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 16

Mornar BarHOME · -

83 : 812023.01.21 · 종료

CibonaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY39.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +60.9%

VALUE EDGE+60.9%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEA

Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsCibona

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better +2.00

166.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.50

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.4 / 15

Prediction separation9.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

60.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

39.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mornar Bar

L · 97-77L · 102-113L · 100-79L · 87-104L · 93-77

Cibona

L · 93-68W · 68-75W · 77-76L · 111-75L · 78-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.21	Mornar Bar	83 : 81	Cibona
2022.10.15	Cibona	91 : 88	Mornar Bar
2022.01.03	Cibona	65 : 82	Mornar Bar
2021.09.25	Mornar Bar	77 : 87	Cibona
2017.01.04	Mornar Bar	81 : 92	Cibona
2016.11.10	Cibona	90 : 72	Mornar Bar