Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 16
SplitHOME · -
91 : 952023.01.21 · 종료
FMP BeogradAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME28.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.1%
VALUE EDGE+71.1%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
SplitAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+2.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
160.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Split
L · 102-88W · 87-85L · 63-72W · 80-85L · 90-89
FMP Beograd
W · 107-81L · 77-72W · 102-113W · 90-73L · 90-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.01.13 | Split | 76 : 85 | FMP Beograd |
| 2025.12.08 | FMP Beograd | 96 : 80 | Split |
| 2023.01.21 | Split | 91 : 95 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.10.18 | FMP Beograd | 90 : 73 | Split |
| 2021.12.15 | FMP Beograd | 93 : 77 | Split |