Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 15
FMP BeogradHOME · -
107 : 812023.01.14 · 종료
Borac MozzartAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.4%
VALUE EDGE+78.4%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsBorac Mozzart
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.25
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.08
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Beograd
L · 77-72W · 102-113W · 90-73L · 90-86W · 111-75
Borac Mozzart
L · 74-76L · 79-108L · 86-57W · 90-89W · 73-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.24 | Borac Mozzart | 95 : 87 | FMP Beograd |
| 2026.02.03 | FMP Beograd | 73 : 82 | Borac Mozzart |
| 2025.11.04 | Borac Mozzart | 74 : 83 | FMP Beograd |
| 2023.01.14 | FMP Beograd | 107 : 81 | Borac Mozzart |
| 2022.10.09 | Borac Mozzart | 84 : 85 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.03.27 | FMP Beograd | 90 : 82 | Borac Mozzart |
| 2021.12.11 | Borac Mozzart | 77 : 80 | FMP Beograd |