Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 14
Mega BasketHOME · -
77 : 722023.01.08 · 종료
FMP BeogradAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.5%
VALUE EDGE+64.5%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Mega BasketAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.50
172.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.67
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation12.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mega Basket
L · 82-96L · 79-66L · 92-58L · 79-75W · 86-74
FMP Beograd
W · 102-113W · 90-73L · 90-86W · 111-75L · 103-97
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.28 | Mega Basket | 79 : 84 | FMP Beograd |
| 2026.02.16 | FMP Beograd | 102 : 87 | Mega Basket |
| 2023.01.08 | Mega Basket | 77 : 72 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.10.04 | FMP Beograd | 90 : 76 | Mega Basket |
| 2022.01.30 | FMP Beograd | 79 : 86 | Mega Basket |
| 2021.10.24 | Mega Basket | 82 : 89 | FMP Beograd |