Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 13

Mornar BarHOME · -

102 : 1132023.01.04 · 종료

FMP BeogradAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY62.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +62.1%

VALUE EDGE+62.1%

FAIR ODDS1.61

GRADEA

Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better -4.50

166.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.67

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.8 / 15

Prediction separation10.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

37.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

62.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mornar Bar

L · 100-79L · 87-104L · 93-77W · 104-88L · 90-87

FMP Beograd

W · 90-73L · 90-86W · 111-75L · 103-97W · 89-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.16	FMP Beograd	101 : 76	Mornar Bar
2023.01.04	Mornar Bar	102 : 113	FMP Beograd
2022.01.23	Mornar Bar	82 : 78	FMP Beograd
2021.10.18	FMP Beograd	83 : 81	Mornar Bar