Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 12
Cedevita OlimpijaHOME · -
100 : 792022.12.28 · 종료
Mornar BarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.6%
VALUE EDGE+64.6%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEB
Cedevita OlimpijaAnalysis MetricsMornar Bar
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+0.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.50
158.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation12.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cedevita Olimpija
W · 90-91W · 71-104L · 80-83W · 77-74W · 108-78
Mornar Bar
L · 87-104L · 93-77W · 104-88L · 90-87L · 85-101
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.12 | Mornar Bar | 78 : 75 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2022.12.28 | Cedevita Olimpija | 100 : 79 | Mornar Bar |
| 2022.03.06 | Mornar Bar | 79 : 101 | Cedevita Olimpija |
| 2021.11.14 | Cedevita Olimpija | 79 : 59 | Mornar Bar |