Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 11
ZadarHOME · -
98 : 792022.12.17 · 종료
MZT SkopjeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.2%
VALUE EDGE+50.2%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
ZadarAnalysis MetricsMZT Skopje
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+13.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.33
157.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.67
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.3 / 15
Prediction separation0.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Zadar
W · 81-84W · 103-97L · 97-79L · 103-104W · 96-98
MZT Skopje
W · 78-88L · 73-81W · 77-51L · 96-90W · 106-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.01 | MZT Skopje | 84 : 80 | Zadar |
| 2022.12.17 | Zadar | 98 : 79 | MZT Skopje |